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Forums :: NHL Talk :: WHO is in a better situation: LEAFS or SENS?
Author Message
senstroll
Location: New Fan, Needs to watch Ballet, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008
Nov 23 @ 10:12 AM ET
Meh ,its called defense quick .We arent a strong posession team ,so we let them have the shots to regain the puck

- top shelf 15


im not even sure what this means
Feeling Glucky?
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tanktown, ON
Joined: 10.08.2008
Nov 23 @ 10:37 AM ET
21st overall in ROWs

Tied for 7th overall in Points

The "struggling " is in their defensive zone, and will need to improve.

However, all things considered, in a better situation than the leafs.
- D0PPELGANGER

Budget team, weak roster, no future.

Leafs>Sens, easily.
senstroll
Location: New Fan, Needs to watch Ballet, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008
Nov 23 @ 12:25 PM ET
Sens Bad and Lucky
leafs Good and Unlucky
D0PPELGANGER
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.06.2015
Nov 23 @ 3:53 PM ET
Senators playoff odds = 69.8%
leafs playoff odds = 13.3%
Crimsoninja
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Dude, I am so sorry about whatever made you like this. Take it easy.
Joined: 07.06.2007
Nov 23 @ 4:13 PM ET
Senators playoff odds = 69.8%
leafs playoff odds = 13.3%
- D0PPELGANGER

odds either team reaches the finals this year = 0%
Feeling Glucky?
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tanktown, ON
Joined: 10.08.2008
Nov 23 @ 4:24 PM ET
odds either team reaches the finals this year = 0%
- Crimsoninja

Given Babcock's track record, we can bump it up to a 1% chance.
senstroll
Location: New Fan, Needs to watch Ballet, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008
Nov 23 @ 4:55 PM ET
Senators playoff odds = 69.8%
leafs playoff odds = 13.3%
- D0PPELGANGER



Well congrats on clinching a playoff Berth
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005
Nov 23 @ 4:57 PM ET
odds either team reaches the finals this year = 0%
- Crimsoninja

i think we can include the next few years in this as well
top shelf 15
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 11.23.2008
Nov 23 @ 5:23 PM ET
im not even sure what this means
- senstroll

I can tell you what it means grasshopper
D0PPELGANGER
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.06.2015
Nov 25 @ 8:27 AM ET
Ottawa has only 5 losses in regulation this season.

Only Montreal (4) and the Rangers (3) have fewer

That is a much better situation than teams (like the leafs) that have 10 or more.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006
Nov 25 @ 8:49 AM ET
Ottawa has only 5 losses in regulation this season.

Only Montreal (4) and the Rangers (3) have fewer

That is a much better situation than teams (like the leafs) that have 10 or more.
- D0PPELGANGER



I can't beleive the leafs are losing in a year in which they just traded their best player for futures and have openly talked about "rebuilding through the draft" and "pain" and "patience".


Consider me outright surprised.
senstroll
Location: New Fan, Needs to watch Ballet, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008
Nov 25 @ 8:53 AM ET
Ottawa has only 5 losses in regulation this season.

Only Montreal (4) and the Rangers (3) have fewer

That is a much better situation than teams (like the leafs) that have 10 or more.
- D0PPELGANGER




Ottawa got outshot last night 37-20 .. scored 7 goals
that is very sustainable..and never comes back to hurt you
D0PPELGANGER
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.06.2015
Nov 25 @ 9:17 AM ET


Ottawa got outshot last night 37-20 .. scored 7 goals
that is very sustainable..and never comes back to hurt you
- senstroll


They're averaging 34.4 SA per game, 2.3 shots more than last years average per game.

They are allowing 2.7 more shots per game than the Rangers, who allow on average, one less goal per game.

Both the Rangers and Senators score an average of 3.1 goals per game.

So if the Senators can lower their SA/G down to the Rangers level, then what would you say?
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006
Nov 25 @ 9:26 AM ET
They're averaging 34.4 SA per game, 2.3 shots more than last years average per game.

They are allowing 2.7 more shots per game than the Rangers, who allow on average, one less goal per game.

Both the Rangers and Senators score an average of 3.1 goals per game.

So if the Senators can lower their SA/G down to the Rangers level, then what would you say?
- D0PPELGANGER


The sens somehow cutting off 2.7 shots/game isn't going to cut off a goal a game..... So nothing?
senstroll
Location: New Fan, Needs to watch Ballet, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008
Nov 25 @ 9:39 AM ET
They're averaging 34.4 SA per game, 2.3 shots more than last years average per game.

They are allowing 2.7 more shots per game than the Rangers, who allow on average, one less goal per game.

Both the Rangers and Senators score an average of 3.1 goals per game.

So if the Senators can lower their SA/G down to the Rangers level, then what would you say?
- D0PPELGANGER



the rangers are sporting a (frank)ing insane PDO of 107.4.. they are heading for a big market correction also. Sens have the 2nd highest PDO at 103

the Rangers are not nearly as good as the record suggests.

For reference, last season the Rangers were #1 in PDO also... at 101.7, the sens were 100.9


If you dont know what PDO is

PDO is an advanced statistic in hockey that combines save % and shooting % in an effort to measure overall performance of a team and highlight teams with outsized "luck".

The basic idea is that teams on average should be around the 1.000 level as each shot is either a goal or a save teams that are relatively higher are producing above expectations and should regress back to the 1.000 level and teams that are relatively lower are producing below expectations and should regess up to the 1.000 level.
D0PPELGANGER
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.06.2015
Nov 25 @ 9:39 AM ET
The sens somehow cutting off 2.7 shots/game isn't going to cut off a goal a game..... So nothing?
- burn



So Ottawa will stay securely in second place in their division then.

OK
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006
Nov 25 @ 10:13 AM ET
So Ottawa will stay securely in second place in their division then.

OK
- D0PPELGANGER



Yup.... Just like he leafs last year in the same situation
Feeling Glucky?
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tanktown, ON
Joined: 10.08.2008
Nov 25 @ 11:12 AM ET
Ottawa has only 5 losses in regulation this season.

Only Montreal (4) and the Rangers (3) have fewer

That is a much better situation than teams (like the leafs) that have 10 or more.
- D0PPELGANGER

I keep forgetting that by your logic, winning in OT=bad, losing in OT=good.
D0PPELGANGER
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.06.2015
Nov 25 @ 2:14 PM ET
I keep forgetting that by your logic, winning in OT=bad, losing in OT=good.
- Feeling Glucky?



losing in regulation = very bad
losing in ot/so within your conference = bad
Feeling Glucky?
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tanktown, ON
Joined: 10.08.2008
Nov 25 @ 2:23 PM ET
losing in regulation = very bad
losing in ot/so within your conference = bad
- D0PPELGANGER

so, since OT wins are also bad...


where does that put Ottawa?

Bottom half of the league?
D0PPELGANGER
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.06.2015
Nov 25 @ 2:30 PM ET
so, since OT wins are also bad...


where does that put Ottawa?

Bottom half of the league?
- Feeling Glucky?


Points = good
No points = very bad
OT wins = good
SO wins = bad in respect to tie breaker
OT loss within conference = bad
OT loss out of conference = OK
SO loss within conference = bad
SO loss out of conference = OK
Feeling Glucky?
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tanktown, ON
Joined: 10.08.2008
Nov 25 @ 2:48 PM ET
Points = good
No points = very bad
OT wins = good
SO wins = bad in respect to tie breaker
OT loss within conference = bad
OT loss out of conference = OK
SO loss within conference = bad
SO loss out of conference = OK
- D0PPELGANGER

I see.


So OT points are only bad when the Leafs get a lot of them.


Understood.
Feeling Glucky?
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tanktown, ON
Joined: 10.08.2008
Nov 25 @ 2:58 PM ET
http://www.tsn.ca/trade-b...able-in-columbus-1.399379

apparently Ottawa is so cash-strapped that they're willing to include a prospect to trade away Colin Greening's 2.6M contract.
D0PPELGANGER
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.06.2015
Nov 25 @ 3:59 PM ET
I see.


So OT points are only bad when the Leafs get a lot of them.


Understood.
- Feeling Glucky?



If you say so
Feeling Glucky?
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tanktown, ON
Joined: 10.08.2008
Nov 25 @ 4:00 PM ET
no mention of Ottawa or even Colin Greening in that article.
- D0PPELGANGER

Is there a video attached to the article?
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